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Metz vs Guingamp

Ligue 2 • Saturday, August 08, 2026 • 20:45

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (49.24% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 48%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 20:45
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Metz vs Guingamp Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Metz an overall score of 70 compared with 61 for Guingamp. The attacking ratings are 75 and 61, while form ratings stand at 70 and 61. This gives Metz the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.68 for Metz and 1.42 for Guingamp, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.10. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 65.19% and both teams to score at 49.24%.

Confidence

48% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.80 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.68 - 1.42 Metz vs Guingamp
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinMetz
36.89%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinGuingamp
35.11%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
65.19%
BTTSBoth teams to score
49.24%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability49.24%
Model Probability%
Value Edge11.18%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 49.24%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=68, probability=49.24, confidence=48, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=watchlist.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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