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Milsami Orhei vs Velež

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (57.8% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence50%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

Milsami Orhei vs Velež Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Milsami Orhei an overall score of 69 compared with 69 for Velež. The attacking ratings are 75 and 68, while form ratings stand at 69 and 69. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.73 for Milsami Orhei and 1.38 for Velež, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.11. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.58% and both teams to score at 57.80%.

Confidence

50%Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.00Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.73 - 1.38Milsami Orhei vs Velež
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinMilsami Orhei
37.97%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinVelež
34.03%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.58%
BTTSBoth teams to score
57.80%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-6.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 57.8%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=71, probability=57.80, confidence=50, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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