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ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 23, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Home or Away

Odds @2.05 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence84%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@2.05
PuntVault AI Summary

Match Overview

Over 2.5 is supported by strong goal probabilities and a 3.14 combined xG projection, though the medium-risk tag reflects some variance.

Match Statistical Context

ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give ML Vitebsk an overall score of 69 compared with 67 for Sutjeska. The attacking ratings are 77 and 66, while form ratings stand at 69 and 67. This gives ML Vitebsk the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.00 for ML Vitebsk and 1.14 for Sutjeska, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 66.12% and both teams to score at 77.96%.

Confidence

84%High Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.70Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.00 - 1.14ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinML Vitebsk
49.95%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinSutjeska
32.05%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
66.12%
BTTSBoth teams to score
77.96%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability48.78%
Model Probability%
Value Edge18.22%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. ML Vitebsk win probability is 49.95%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Sutjeska win probability is 32.05%. Expected goals: ML Vitebsk 2.0, Sutjeska 1.14. Recent form: ML Vitebsk LLWW (6 pts), Sutjeska LLLL (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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