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Montpellier vs Boulogne

Ligue 2 • Friday, August 28, 2026 • 20:00

AI Prediction

Home Win

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Montpellier vs Boulogne Pre-Match Data

Montpellier enter this Ligue 2 fixture ranked 8 with 51 points from 34 matches, while Boulogne sit 15 with 36 points. Montpellier hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Montpellier carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Montpellier have scored 41 and conceded 31, giving them a goal difference of 10. Boulogne have scored 34 and conceded 49, with a goal difference of -15. On that measure, Montpellier show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Montpellier's form string is DLWWD, while Boulogne's latest sequence is LLLLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.66 for Montpellier and 0.69 for Boulogne, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.35. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 65.90% and both teams to score at 59.66%.

Confidence

77% High Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.70 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.66 - 0.69 Montpellier vs Boulogne
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinMontpellier
68.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinBoulogne
20.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
65.90%
BTTSBoth teams to score
59.66%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Montpellier win probability is 68.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Boulogne win probability is 20.00%. Expected goals: Montpellier 2.66, Boulogne 0.69. Recent form: Montpellier N/A (0 pts), Boulogne N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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