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Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

Conference League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 64%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Mornar an overall score of 79 compared with 78 for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes. The attacking ratings are 81 and 82, while form ratings stand at 79 and 78. This gives Mornar the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.80 for Mornar and 1.31 for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.11. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.58% and both teams to score at 73.54%.

Confidence

64% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.40 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.80 - 1.31 Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinMornar
42.90%
DrawMatch draw
22.00%
Away WinAtlètic Club d'Escaldes
35.10%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.58%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.54%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge7.82%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Mornar win probability is 42.90%, draw probability is 22.00%, and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win probability is 35.10%. Expected goals: Mornar 1.8, Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1.31. Recent form: Mornar N/A (0 pts), Atlètic Club d'Escaldes N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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