Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Conference League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 19:00
Match Overview
Over 2.5 is the preferred angle here, supported by strong goal probabilities and a positive value edge. Both teams arrive in decent form, and the model projects enough attacking output for a higher-scoring game.
Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Mornar an overall score of 69 compared with 69 for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes. The attacking ratings are 81 and 82, while form ratings stand at 69 and 69. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.82 for Mornar and 1.30 for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.12. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 65.76% and both teams to score at 76.68%.
Confidence
67%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.70Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.82 - 1.30Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'EscaldesProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Mornar win probability is 43.31%, draw probability is 22.00%, and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win probability is 34.69%. Expected goals: Mornar 1.82, Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1.3. Recent form: Mornar DWWWW (13 pts), Atlètic Club d'Escaldes WWLWW (12 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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