Nancy vs Guingamp
Ligue 2 • Friday, October 09, 2026 • 20:00
Nancy vs Guingamp Pre-Match Data
Nancy enter this Ligue 2 fixture ranked 14 with 37 points from 34 matches, while Guingamp sit 11 with 40 points. Guingamp hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Guingamp carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Nancy have scored 35 and conceded 52, giving them a goal difference of -17. Guingamp have scored 42 and conceded 49, with a goal difference of -7. On that measure, Guingamp show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Nancy's form string is WWDLD, while Guingamp's latest sequence is LLLLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.61 for Nancy and 1.49 for Guingamp, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.10. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.40% and both teams to score at 73.40%.
Confidence
63% Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.30 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.61 - 1.49 Nancy vs GuingampProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Nancy win probability is 35.32%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Guingamp win probability is 36.68%. Expected goals: Nancy 1.61, Guingamp 1.49. Recent form: Nancy N/A (0 pts), Guingamp N/A (0 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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