Nantes vs Toulouse
Ligue 1 • Sunday, May 17, 2026 • 21:00
Nantes vs Toulouse Pre-Match Data
Nantes enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 17 with 23 points from 33 matches, while Toulouse sit 10 with 44 points. Toulouse hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Toulouse carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Nantes have scored 29 and conceded 52, giving them a goal difference of -23. Toulouse have scored 47 and conceded 46, with a goal difference of 1. On that measure, Toulouse show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Nantes's form string is LWLLD, while Toulouse's latest sequence is WWDLL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Nantes an overall score of 69 compared with 75 for Toulouse. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 75. This gives Toulouse the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.90.
Confidence
46%Low ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.20Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.90 - 1.40Nantes vs ToulouseProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Nantes win probability is 12.67%, draw probability is 15.25%, and Toulouse win probability is 72.08%. Expected goals: Nantes 0.95, Toulouse 1.45.
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3More Ligue 1 Predictions
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