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Napoli vs Bologna

Serie A • Sunday, September 13, 2026 • 18:30

AI Prediction

Home Win

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Napoli vs Bologna Pre-Match Data

Napoli enter this Serie A fixture ranked 2 with 76 points from 38 matches, while Bologna sit 8 with 56 points. Napoli hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Napoli carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Napoli have scored 58 and conceded 36, giving them a goal difference of 22. Bologna have scored 49 and conceded 46, with a goal difference of 3. On that measure, Napoli show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Napoli's form string is WWLDW, while Bologna's latest sequence is DWWDL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Napoli an overall score of 72 compared with 71 for Bologna. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 72 and 71. This gives Napoli the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.66.

Confidence

77% High Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.70 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.66 - 0.69 Napoli vs Bologna
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinNapoli
68.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinBologna
20.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
65.90%
BTTSBoth teams to score
59.66%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Napoli win probability is 68.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Bologna win probability is 20.00%. Expected goals: Napoli 2.66, Bologna 0.69. Recent form: Napoli N/A (0 pts), Bologna N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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