Nice vs Lille
Ligue 1 • Saturday, September 19, 2026 • 17:00
Nice vs Lille Pre-Match Data
Nice enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 16 with 32 points from 34 matches, while Lille sit 3 with 61 points. Lille hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Lille carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Nice have scored 37 and conceded 60, giving them a goal difference of -23. Lille have scored 52 and conceded 37, with a goal difference of 15. On that measure, Lille show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Nice's form string is WDDLD, while Lille's latest sequence is LWDWD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Nice an overall score of 71 compared with 69 for Lille. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 69. This gives Nice the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.78.
Confidence
77% High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.70 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
0.78 - 2.36 Nice vs LilleProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Nice win probability is 20.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Lille win probability is 68.00%. Expected goals: Nice 0.78, Lille 2.36. Recent form: Nice N/A (0 pts), Lille N/A (0 pts).
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