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Nottingham Forest vs Leeds

Premier League • Saturday, August 22, 2026 • 16:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Pre-Match Data

Nottingham Forest enter this Premier League fixture ranked 16 with 44 points from 38 matches, while Leeds sit 14 with 47 points. Leeds hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Leeds carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Nottingham Forest have scored 48 and conceded 51, giving them a goal difference of -3. Leeds have scored 49 and conceded 56, with a goal difference of -7. On that measure, Nottingham Forest show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Nottingham Forest's form string is DLDWW, while Leeds's latest sequence is LWDWD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Nottingham Forest an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for Leeds. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70. This gives Leeds the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model.

Confidence

63% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.30 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.60 - 1.50 Nottingham Forest vs Leeds
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinNottingham Forest
35.04%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinLeeds
36.96%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.40%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.40%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Nottingham Forest win probability is 35.04%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Leeds win probability is 36.96%. Expected goals: Nottingham Forest 1.6, Leeds 1.5. Recent form: Nottingham Forest N/A (0 pts), Leeds N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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