NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans
Conference League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 20:45
Match Overview
NSI Runavik are strongly backed at home, with superior ELO, better recent form and a clear xG edge. The model rates the home win as low risk and high value, while goals markets also lean positive.
NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give NSI Runavik an overall score of 70 compared with 69 for Hamrun Spartans. The attacking ratings are 81 and 75, while form ratings stand at 70 and 69. This gives NSI Runavik the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.66 for NSI Runavik and 0.69 for Hamrun Spartans, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.35. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 73.90% and both teams to score at 62.66%.
Confidence
75%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.50Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.66 - 0.69NSI Runavik vs Hamrun SpartansProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. NSI Runavik win probability is 68.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Hamrun Spartans win probability is 20.00%. Expected goals: NSI Runavik 2.66, Hamrun Spartans 0.69. Recent form: NSI Runavik DDWWW (11 pts), Hamrun Spartans WLLWW (9 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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