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Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen

Champions League • Tuesday, August 04, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (57.8% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 50%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Olympiakos Piraeus an overall score of 75 compared with 72 for NEC Nijmegen. The attacking ratings are 75 and 78, while form ratings stand at 75 and 72. This gives Olympiakos Piraeus the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.76 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 1.35 for NEC Nijmegen, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.11. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.58% and both teams to score at 57.80%.

Confidence

50% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.00 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.76 - 1.35 Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinOlympiakos Piraeus
38.58%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinNEC Nijmegen
33.42%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.58%
BTTSBoth teams to score
57.80%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability57.80%
Model Probability%
Value Edge6.86%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 57.8%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=71, probability=57.80, confidence=50, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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