Oviedo vs Alaves
La Liga • Sunday, May 17, 2026 • 19:00
Oviedo vs Alaves Pre-Match Data
Oviedo enter this La Liga fixture ranked 20 with 29 points from 38 matches, while Alaves sit 14 with 43 points. Alaves hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Alaves carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Oviedo have scored 26 and conceded 60, giving them a goal difference of -34. Alaves have scored 44 and conceded 56, with a goal difference of -12. On that measure, Alaves show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Oviedo's form string is LLLDL, while Alaves's latest sequence is LWWDL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Oviedo an overall score of 68 compared with 71 for Alaves. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 68 and 71. This gives Alaves the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.01.
Confidence
62%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.20Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.01 - 1.41Oviedo vs AlavesProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Oviedo win probability is 31.96%, draw probability is 15.25%, and Alaves win probability is 52.79%. Expected goals: Oviedo 1.01, Alaves 1.41.
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3More La Liga Predictions
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