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Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split

Europa League • Thursday, July 30, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (57.42% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 50%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Pafos an overall score of 69 compared with 71 for HNK Hajduk Split. The attacking ratings are 75 and 86, while form ratings stand at 69 and 71. This gives HNK Hajduk Split the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.20 for Pafos and 1.85 for HNK Hajduk Split, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.05. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 55.50% and both teams to score at 57.42%.

Confidence

50% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.00 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.20 - 1.85 Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinPafos
32.23%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinHNK Hajduk Split
55.77%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
55.50%
BTTSBoth teams to score
57.42%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability57.42%
Model Probability%
Value Edge5.95%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 57.42%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=70, probability=57.42, confidence=50, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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