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Parma vs Cagliari

Serie A • Sunday, August 23, 2026 • 18:30

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Parma vs Cagliari Pre-Match Data

Parma enter this Serie A fixture ranked 13 with 45 points from 38 matches, while Cagliari sit 14 with 43 points. Parma hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Parma carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Parma have scored 28 and conceded 46, giving them a goal difference of -18. Cagliari have scored 40 and conceded 53, with a goal difference of -13. On that measure, Cagliari show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Parma's form string is WLLLW, while Cagliari's latest sequence is WWLDW. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Parma an overall score of 70 compared with 70 for Cagliari. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 70 and 70. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of.

Confidence

63% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.30 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.57 - 1.52 Parma vs Cagliari
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinParma
34.39%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinCagliari
37.61%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.22%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.26%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Parma win probability is 34.39%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Cagliari win probability is 37.61%. Expected goals: Parma 1.57, Cagliari 1.52. Recent form: Parma N/A (0 pts), Cagliari N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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