Parma vs Sassuolo
Serie A • Sunday, May 24, 2026 • 15:00
Parma vs Sassuolo Pre-Match Data
Parma enter this Serie A fixture ranked 13 with 45 points from 38 matches, while Sassuolo sit 11 with 49 points. Sassuolo hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Sassuolo carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Parma have scored 28 and conceded 46, giving them a goal difference of -18. Sassuolo have scored 46 and conceded 50, with a goal difference of -4. On that measure, Sassuolo show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Parma's form string is WLLLW, while Sassuolo's latest sequence is LLLWD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Parma an overall score of 70 compared with 69 for Sassuolo. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 70 and 69. This gives Parma the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.20.
Confidence
65%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.50Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.20 - 1.85Parma vs SassuoloProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Parma win probability is 32.18%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Sassuolo win probability is 55.82%. Expected goals: Parma 1.2, Sassuolo 1.85.
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3More Serie A Predictions
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