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PAU vs Annecy

Ligue 2 • Saturday, August 08, 2026 • 20:45

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (54.3% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 49%
Risk Level Low Risk
Kickoff 20:45
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

PAU vs Annecy Pre-Match Data

PAU enter this Ligue 2 fixture ranked 9 with 45 points from 34 matches, while Annecy sit 7 with 52 points. Annecy hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Annecy carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. PAU have scored 48 and conceded 62, giving them a goal difference of -14. Annecy have scored 49 and conceded 39, with a goal difference of 10. On that measure, Annecy show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: PAU's form string is LLLWW, while Annecy's latest sequence is LWWWD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give PAU an overall score of 71 compared with 72 for Annecy. The attacking ratings are 73 and 77, while form ratings stand at 71 and 72. This gives Annecy the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.78.

Confidence

49% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.90 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

0.78 - 2.31 PAU vs Annecy
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinPAU
20.36%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinAnnecy
67.64%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
66.04%
BTTSBoth teams to score
54.30%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability54.30%
Model Probability%
Value Edge19.18%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 54.3%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=71, probability=54.30, confidence=49, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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