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Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma

Conference League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 20:45

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.75 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 65%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 20:45
Market Odds @1.75
Match Statistical Context

Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Penybont an overall score of 73 compared with 68 for FC Santa Coloma. The attacking ratings are 75 and 70, while form ratings stand at 73 and 68. This gives Penybont the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.08 for Penybont and 1.07 for FC Santa Coloma, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.15. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 62.30% and both teams to score at 64.53%.

Confidence

65% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.50 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.08 - 1.07 Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinPenybont
55.77%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinFC Santa Coloma
32.23%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
62.30%
BTTSBoth teams to score
64.53%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability57.14%
Model Probability%
Value Edge7.86%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 2 available meetings, Penybont recorded 0 win(s), FC Santa Coloma recorded 1 win(s), and 1 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 2.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 50.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 0.00%. Penybont win probability is 55.77%, draw probability is 12.00%, and FC Santa Coloma win probability is 32.23%. Expected goals: Penybont 2.08, FC Santa Coloma 1.07. Recent form: Penybont WWDL (7 pts), FC Santa Coloma LLLWD (4 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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