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Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence64%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Penybont an overall score of 69 compared with 70 for FC Santa Coloma. The attacking ratings are 75 and 70, while form ratings stand at 69 and 70. This gives FC Santa Coloma the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.98 for Penybont and 1.16 for FC Santa Coloma, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 62.12% and both teams to score at 73.96%.

Confidence

64%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.40Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.98 - 1.16Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinPenybont
49.53%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinFC Santa Coloma
32.47%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
62.12%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.96%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge7.82%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Penybont win probability is 49.53%, draw probability is 18.00%, and FC Santa Coloma win probability is 32.47%. Expected goals: Penybont 1.98, FC Santa Coloma 1.16. Recent form: Penybont N/A (0 pts), FC Santa Coloma N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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