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Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (54.9% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence49%
Risk LevelLow Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Pyunik Yerevan an overall score of 71 compared with 68 for Marsaxlokk. The attacking ratings are 80 and 79, while form ratings stand at 71 and 68. This gives Pyunik Yerevan the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.99 for Pyunik Yerevan and 1.15 for Marsaxlokk, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 74.80% and both teams to score at 54.90%.

Confidence

49%Low Confidence

Risk Level

Low RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.90Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.99 - 1.15Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinPyunik Yerevan
49.68%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinMarsaxlokk
32.32%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
74.80%
BTTSBoth teams to score
54.90%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-7.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 54.9%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=71, probability=54.90, confidence=49, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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