Qarabag vs Vestri
Europa League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 18:00
Match Overview
Over 2.5 looks the preferred angle, supported by a 65.22% model probability, strong value edge, and both teams projecting near 1.5 expected goals.
Qarabag vs Vestri Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Qarabag an overall score of 71 compared with 67 for Vestri. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 67. This gives Qarabag the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.52 for Qarabag and 1.57 for Vestri, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.09. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 65.22% and both teams to score at 76.26%.
Confidence
66%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.60Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
1.52 - 1.57Qarabag vs VestriProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Qarabag win probability is 33.29%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Vestri win probability is 38.71%. Expected goals: Qarabag 1.52, Vestri 1.57. Recent form: Qarabag LLWW (6 pts), Vestri DDWWL (8 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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