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Qarabag vs Vestri

Europa League Europa League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence63%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

Qarabag vs Vestri Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Qarabag an overall score of 71 compared with 67 for Vestri. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 67. This gives Qarabag the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.58 for Qarabag and 1.51 for Vestri, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.09. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.22% and both teams to score at 73.26%.

Confidence

63%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.30Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.58 - 1.51Qarabag vs Vestri
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinQarabag
34.78%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinVestri
37.22%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.22%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.26%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge6.82%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Qarabag win probability is 34.78%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Vestri win probability is 37.22%. Expected goals: Qarabag 1.58, Vestri 1.51. Recent form: Qarabag N/A (0 pts), Vestri N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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