Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal
La Liga • Sunday, May 17, 2026 • 19:00
Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Pre-Match Data
Rayo Vallecano enter this La Liga fixture ranked 8 with 50 points from 38 matches, while Villarreal sit 3 with 72 points. Villarreal hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Villarreal carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Rayo Vallecano have scored 41 and conceded 44, giving them a goal difference of -3. Villarreal have scored 72 and conceded 46, with a goal difference of 26. On that measure, Villarreal show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Rayo Vallecano's form string is WWDDW, while Villarreal's latest sequence is WLLDW. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Rayo Vallecano an overall score of 70 compared with 70 for Villarreal. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 70 and 70. This gives neither team the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model.
Confidence
78%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.80Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
0.95 - 1.45Rayo Vallecano vs VillarrealProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Rayo Vallecano win probability is 5.81%, draw probability is 15.25%, and Villarreal win probability is 78.93%. Expected goals: Rayo Vallecano 0.95, Villarreal 1.45.
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3More La Liga Predictions
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