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Real Sociedad vs Valencia

La Liga La Liga • Sunday, May 17, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Home Win

Odds @2.21 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence56%
Risk LevelHigh Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@2.21
Match Statistical Context

Real Sociedad vs Valencia Pre-Match Data

Real Sociedad enter this La Liga fixture ranked 10 with 46 points from 38 matches, while Valencia sit 9 with 49 points. Valencia hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Valencia carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Real Sociedad have scored 59 and conceded 61, giving them a goal difference of -2. Valencia have scored 46 and conceded 55, with a goal difference of -9. On that measure, Real Sociedad show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Real Sociedad's form string is DLDDL, while Valencia's latest sequence is WWDWL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Real Sociedad an overall score of 70 compared with 71 for Valencia. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 70 and 71. This gives Valencia the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model.

Confidence

56%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

High RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.60Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.73 - 0.90Real Sociedad vs Valencia
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinReal Sociedad
56.18%
DrawMatch draw
15.25%
Away WinValencia
28.57%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
48.00%
BTTSBoth teams to score
42.00%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability45.25%
Model Probability%
Value Edge10.93%
Value RatingSTRONG
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Real Sociedad win probability is 56.18%, draw probability is 15.25%, and Valencia win probability is 28.57%. Expected goals: Real Sociedad 1.73, Valencia 0.9.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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