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Rennes vs Auxerre

Ligue 1 • Saturday, October 10, 2026 • 17:00

AI Prediction

Home Win

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Rennes vs Auxerre Pre-Match Data

Rennes enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 6 with 59 points from 34 matches, while Auxerre sit 15 with 34 points. Rennes hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Rennes carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Rennes have scored 59 and conceded 50, giving them a goal difference of 9. Auxerre have scored 34 and conceded 44, with a goal difference of -10. On that measure, Rennes show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Rennes's form string is LWLWW, while Auxerre's latest sequence is WWWLD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Rennes an overall score of 69 compared with 71 for Auxerre. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 71. This gives Auxerre the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.66.

Confidence

77% High Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.70 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.66 - 0.69 Rennes vs Auxerre
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinRennes
68.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinAuxerre
20.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
65.90%
BTTSBoth teams to score
59.66%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Rennes win probability is 68.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Auxerre win probability is 20.00%. Expected goals: Rennes 2.66, Auxerre 0.69. Recent form: Rennes N/A (0 pts), Auxerre N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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