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Rodez vs Montpellier

Ligue 2 • Friday, October 16, 2026 • 20:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Rodez vs Montpellier Pre-Match Data

Rodez enter this Ligue 2 fixture ranked 5 with 58 points from 34 matches, while Montpellier sit 8 with 51 points. Rodez hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Rodez carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Rodez have scored 45 and conceded 39, giving them a goal difference of 6. Montpellier have scored 41 and conceded 31, with a goal difference of 10. On that measure, Montpellier show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Rodez's form string is WWDWW, while Montpellier's latest sequence is DLWWD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.16 for Rodez and 1.00 for Montpellier, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.16. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 62.48% and both teams to score at 72.00%.

Confidence

65% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.50 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.16 - 1.00 Rodez vs Montpellier
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinRodez
57.91%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinMontpellier
30.09%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
62.48%
BTTSBoth teams to score
72.00%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Rodez win probability is 57.91%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Montpellier win probability is 30.09%. Expected goals: Rodez 2.16, Montpellier 1.0. Recent form: Rodez N/A (0 pts), Montpellier N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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