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Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn

Champions League Champions League • Tuesday, July 14, 2026 • 18:00

AI Prediction

Home or Away

Odds @1.56 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence90%
Risk LevelLow Risk
Kickoff18:00
Market Odds@1.56
PuntVault AI Summary

Match Overview

Over 2.5 looks strongly supported by the model, with high BTTS and a solid xG profile. Saburtalo hold a slight edge, but both sides have enough attacking output to keep the goal line in play.

Match Statistical Context

Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Saburtalo an overall score of 70 compared with 69 for Flora Tallinn. The attacking ratings are 75 and 76, while form ratings stand at 70 and 69. This gives Saburtalo the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.99 for Saburtalo and 1.15 for Flora Tallinn, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 78.80% and both teams to score at 87.87%.

Confidence

90%High Confidence

Risk Level

Low RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

8.20Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.99 - 1.15Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinSaburtalo
49.70%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinFlora Tallinn
32.30%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
78.80%
BTTSBoth teams to score
87.87%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability64.10%
Model Probability%
Value Edge17.90%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 1 available meetings, Saburtalo recorded 1 win(s), Flora Tallinn recorded 0 win(s), and 0 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 5.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 100.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 100.00%. Saburtalo win probability is 49.70%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Flora Tallinn win probability is 32.30%. Expected goals: Saburtalo 1.99, Flora Tallinn 1.15. Recent form: Saburtalo WDWWL (10 pts), Flora Tallinn LWWLW (9 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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