Sassuolo vs Lecce
Serie A • Sunday, May 17, 2026 • 20:45
Sassuolo vs Lecce Pre-Match Data
Sassuolo enter this Serie A fixture ranked 11 with 49 points from 38 matches, while Lecce sit 17 with 38 points. Sassuolo hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Sassuolo carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Sassuolo have scored 46 and conceded 50, giving them a goal difference of -4. Lecce have scored 28 and conceded 50, with a goal difference of -22. On that measure, Sassuolo show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Sassuolo's form string is LLLWD, while Lecce's latest sequence is WWLWD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Sassuolo an overall score of 69 compared with 71 for Lecce. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 71. This gives Lecce the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.40.
Confidence
71%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.10Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.40 - 0.43Sassuolo vs LecceProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Sassuolo win probability is 71.51%, draw probability is 15.25%, and Lecce win probability is 13.24%. Expected goals: Sassuolo 2.4, Lecce 0.43.
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3More Serie A Predictions
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