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Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme

Conference League • Thursday, July 23, 2026 • 20:45

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (54.96% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 49%
Risk Level Low Risk
Kickoff 20:45
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Shelbourne an overall score of 75 compared with 71 for Kalju Nomme. The attacking ratings are 75 and 72, while form ratings stand at 75 and 71. This gives Shelbourne the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.78 for Shelbourne and 2.36 for Kalju Nomme, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 66.12% and both teams to score at 54.96%.

Confidence

49% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.90 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

0.78 - 2.36 Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinShelbourne
20.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinKalju Nomme
68.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
66.12%
BTTSBoth teams to score
54.96%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-7.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 54.96%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=71, probability=54.96, confidence=49, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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