Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij
Europa League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 19:00
Match Overview
Sheriff Tiraspol are priced as a strong home favourite with solid model support. The home win carries value at 1.78, backed by superior ELO, better recent form, and a clear xG edge. Goals markets also lean toward an open game.
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Sheriff Tiraspol an overall score of 67 compared with 68 for Aluminij. The attacking ratings are 80 and 63, while form ratings stand at 67 and 68. This gives Aluminij the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.41 for Sheriff Tiraspol and 0.78 for Aluminij, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.19. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 63.02% and both teams to score at 60.92%.
Confidence
70%Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.00Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.41 - 0.78Sheriff Tiraspol vs AluminijProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Sheriff Tiraspol win probability is 64.53%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Aluminij win probability is 23.47%. Expected goals: Sheriff Tiraspol 2.41, Aluminij 0.78. Recent form: Sheriff Tiraspol DWWDW (11 pts), Aluminij LLD (1 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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