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Sochaux vs Saint Etienne

Ligue 2 • Saturday, August 08, 2026 • 20:45

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (25.5% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 45%
Risk Level Low Risk
Kickoff 20:45
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Sochaux vs Saint Etienne Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Sochaux an overall score of 68 compared with 69 for Saint Etienne. The attacking ratings are 70 and 75, while form ratings stand at 68 and 69. This gives Saint Etienne the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.78 for Sochaux and 2.36 for Saint Etienne, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 68.80% and both teams to score at 25.50%.

Confidence

45% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.50 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

0.78 - 2.36 Sochaux vs Saint Etienne
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinSochaux
20.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinSaint Etienne
68.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
68.80%
BTTSBoth teams to score
25.50%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability25.50%
Model Probability%
Value Edge20.18%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 25.5%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=63, probability=25.50, confidence=45, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=watchlist.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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