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Sparta Praha vs Lyon

Champions League • Tuesday, August 04, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners (79.05% probability)

Odds @1.75 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 55%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.75
Match Statistical Context

Sparta Praha vs Lyon Pre-Match Data

PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.72 for Sparta Praha and 1.39 for Lyon, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.11. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 79.05% and both teams to score at 73.54%.

Confidence

55% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.50 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.72 - 1.39 Sparta Praha vs Lyon
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinSparta Praha
37.71%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinLyon
34.29%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
79.05%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.54%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability79.05%
Model Probability%
Value Edge6.86%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Corners Engine v1 predicts Over 8.5 Corners. Model probability: 79.05%. Quality gate: corners quality=78, probability=79.05, confidence=55, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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