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Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord

Eredivisie • Sunday, August 09, 2026 • 12:15

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (54.59% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 49%
Risk Level Low Risk
Kickoff 12:15
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord Pre-Match Data

Sparta Rotterdam enter this Eredivisie fixture ranked 10 with 43 points from 34 matches, while Feyenoord sit 2 with 65 points. Feyenoord hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Feyenoord carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Sparta Rotterdam have scored 40 and conceded 62, giving them a goal difference of -22. Feyenoord have scored 70 and conceded 44, with a goal difference of 26. On that measure, Feyenoord show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Sparta Rotterdam's form string is LLDLL, while Feyenoord's latest sequence is WDWWD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.78 for Sparta Rotterdam and 2.36 for Feyenoord, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.14. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 62.12% and both teams to score at 54.59%.

Confidence

49% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.90 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

0.78 - 2.36 Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinSparta Rotterdam
20.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinFeyenoord
68.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
62.12%
BTTSBoth teams to score
54.59%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability54.59%
Model Probability%
Value Edge18.18%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 54.59%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=71, probability=54.59, confidence=49, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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