Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen
Eredivisie • Friday, September 18, 2026 • 20:00
Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen Pre-Match Data
Sparta Rotterdam enter this Eredivisie fixture ranked 10 with 43 points from 34 matches, while Heerenveen sit 8 with 51 points. Heerenveen hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Heerenveen carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Sparta Rotterdam have scored 40 and conceded 62, giving them a goal difference of -22. Heerenveen have scored 57 and conceded 53, with a goal difference of 4. On that measure, Heerenveen show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Sparta Rotterdam's form string is LLDLL, while Heerenveen's latest sequence is DLWWL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.79 for Sparta Rotterdam and 2.21 for Heerenveen, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.00. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 59.60% and both teams to score at 61.06%.
Confidence
75% High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.50 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
0.79 - 2.21 Sparta Rotterdam vs HeerenveenProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Sparta Rotterdam win probability is 21.29%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Heerenveen win probability is 66.71%. Expected goals: Sparta Rotterdam 0.79, Heerenveen 2.21. Recent form: Sparta Rotterdam N/A (0 pts), Heerenveen N/A (0 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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