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Stjarnan vs Ilves

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 23, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Home or Away

Odds @1.75 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence74%
Risk LevelLow Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@1.75
Match Statistical Context

Stjarnan vs Ilves Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Stjarnan an overall score of 71 compared with 70 for Ilves. The attacking ratings are 70 and 70, while form ratings stand at 71 and 70. This gives Stjarnan the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.73 for Stjarnan and 1.38 for Ilves, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.11. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 72.58% and both teams to score at 83.54%.

Confidence

74%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Low RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.50Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.73 - 1.38Stjarnan vs Ilves
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinStjarnan
37.97%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinIlves
34.03%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
72.58%
BTTSBoth teams to score
83.54%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability57.14%
Model Probability%
Value Edge17.86%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Stjarnan win probability is 37.97%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Ilves win probability is 34.03%. Expected goals: Stjarnan 1.73, Ilves 1.38. Recent form: Stjarnan LDWDW (8 pts), Ilves WWDLL (7 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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