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Stjarnan vs Vikingur Gota

Conference League Conference League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 21:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence73%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff21:00
Market Odds@1.78
PuntVault AI Summary

Match Overview

Vikingur Gota hold the stronger profile, but the main angle is goals. Over 2.5 rates well on model data, supported by high BTTS and combined xG.

Match Statistical Context

Stjarnan vs Vikingur Gota Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Stjarnan an overall score of 71 compared with 69 for Vikingur Gota. The attacking ratings are 70 and 75, while form ratings stand at 71 and 69. This gives Stjarnan the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.23 for Stjarnan and 1.82 for Vikingur Gota, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.05. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 71.50% and both teams to score at 82.70%.

Confidence

73%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

7.30Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.23 - 1.82Stjarnan vs Vikingur Gota
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinStjarnan
33.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinVikingur Gota
55.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
71.50%
BTTSBoth teams to score
82.70%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge16.82%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Stjarnan win probability is 33.00%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Vikingur Gota win probability is 55.00%. Expected goals: Stjarnan 1.23, Vikingur Gota 1.82. Recent form: Stjarnan DWLDL (5 pts), Vikingur Gota WDWDW (11 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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