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Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian

Champions League Champions League • Tuesday, July 21, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (56.19% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence50%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Sturm Graz an overall score of 70 compared with 67 for Heart Of Midlothian. The attacking ratings are 75 and 76, while form ratings stand at 70 and 67. This gives Sturm Graz the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.66 for Sturm Graz and 1.44 for Heart Of Midlothian, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.10. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 72.40% and both teams to score at 56.19%.

Confidence

50%Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.00Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.66 - 1.44Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinSturm Graz
36.41%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinHeart Of Midlothian
35.59%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
72.40%
BTTSBoth teams to score
56.19%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-6.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 56.19%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=71, probability=56.19, confidence=50, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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