Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty
Champions League • Wednesday, July 15, 2026 • 21:00
Match Overview
Sutjeska are projected to control this Champions League tie, with the model leaning to a 2-0 home win. Strong home-win probability and a clear xG gap support the correct-score angle, though the market still prices some goal involvement from Kairat.
Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Sutjeska an overall score of 67 compared with 70 for Kairat Almaty. The attacking ratings are 66 and 75, while form ratings stand at 67 and 70. This gives Kairat Almaty the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.66 for Sutjeska and 0.69 for Kairat Almaty, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.35. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 82.02% and both teams to score at 72.71%.
Confidence
77%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.70Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.66 - 0.69Sutjeska vs Kairat AlmatyProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
XGBoost Correct Score Engine v1 predicts 2-0. Model probability: 59.09%. Top scorelines: 2-0 (67.59%), 2-1 (6.37%), 0-0 (5.28%). Quality gate: correct_score quality=72, probability=59.09, confidence=77, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.
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