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Tottenham vs Everton

Premier League • Saturday, September 12, 2026 • 16:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Tottenham vs Everton Pre-Match Data

Tottenham enter this Premier League fixture ranked 17 with 41 points from 38 matches, while Everton sit 13 with 49 points. Everton hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Everton carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Tottenham have scored 48 and conceded 57, giving them a goal difference of -9. Everton have scored 47 and conceded 50, with a goal difference of -3. On that measure, Everton show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Tottenham's form string is WLDWW, while Everton's latest sequence is LLDDL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Tottenham an overall score of 70 compared with 69 for Everton. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 70 and 69. This gives Tottenham the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.59.

Confidence

63% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.30 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.59 - 1.50 Tottenham vs Everton
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinTottenham
34.87%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinEverton
37.13%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.22%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.26%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Tottenham win probability is 34.87%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Everton win probability is 37.13%. Expected goals: Tottenham 1.59, Everton 1.5. Recent form: Tottenham N/A (0 pts), Everton N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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