Toulouse vs Le Havre
Ligue 1 • Saturday, September 19, 2026 • 17:00
Toulouse vs Le Havre Pre-Match Data
Toulouse enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 10 with 44 points from 33 matches, while Le Havre sit 14 with 35 points. Toulouse hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Toulouse carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Toulouse have scored 47 and conceded 46, giving them a goal difference of 1. Le Havre have scored 32 and conceded 44, with a goal difference of -12. On that measure, Toulouse show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Toulouse's form string is WWDLL, while Le Havre's latest sequence is WLDDD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Toulouse an overall score of 75 compared with 71 for Le Havre. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 75 and 71. This gives Toulouse the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects.
Confidence
69% Medium ConfidenceRisk Level
Medium Risk Bankroll discipline requiredAI Score
6.90 Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.32 - 0.86 Toulouse vs Le HavreProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Toulouse win probability is 62.08%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Le Havre win probability is 25.92%. Expected goals: Toulouse 2.32, Le Havre 0.86. Recent form: Toulouse N/A (0 pts), Le Havre N/A (0 pts).
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