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Toulouse vs Le Havre

Ligue 1 • Saturday, September 19, 2026 • 17:00

AI Prediction

Home Win

Odds TBA • Stake 1u

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Match Statistical Context

Toulouse vs Le Havre Pre-Match Data

Toulouse enter this Ligue 1 fixture ranked 10 with 44 points from 33 matches, while Le Havre sit 14 with 35 points. Toulouse hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Toulouse carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Toulouse have scored 47 and conceded 46, giving them a goal difference of 1. Le Havre have scored 32 and conceded 44, with a goal difference of -12. On that measure, Toulouse show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Toulouse's form string is WWDLL, while Le Havre's latest sequence is WLDDD. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Toulouse an overall score of 75 compared with 71 for Le Havre. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 75 and 71. This gives Toulouse the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects.

Confidence

69% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.90 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.32 - 0.86 Toulouse vs Le Havre
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinToulouse
62.08%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinLe Havre
25.92%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
62.84%
BTTSBoth teams to score
70.04%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability0.00%
Model Probability%
Value Edge0.00%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Toulouse win probability is 62.08%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Le Havre win probability is 25.92%. Expected goals: Toulouse 2.32, Le Havre 0.86. Recent form: Toulouse N/A (0 pts), Le Havre N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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