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Vestri vs Qarabag

Europa League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Home Win

Odds @1.75 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 49%
Risk Level High Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.75
Match Statistical Context

Vestri vs Qarabag Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Vestri an overall score of 73 compared with 75 for Qarabag. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 73 and 75. This gives Qarabag the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.92 for Vestri and 1.21 for Qarabag, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.13. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 65.94% and both teams to score at 76.82%.

Confidence

49% Low Confidence

Risk Level

High Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.90 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.92 - 1.21 Vestri vs Qarabag
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinVestri
47.99%
DrawMatch draw
18.00%
Away WinQarabag
34.01%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
65.94%
BTTSBoth teams to score
76.82%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability57.14%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-8.14%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Vestri win probability is 47.99%, draw probability is 18.00%, and Qarabag win probability is 34.01%. Expected goals: Vestri 1.92, Qarabag 1.21. Recent form: Vestri DDWWL (8 pts), Qarabag LLWW (6 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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