Vikingur Gota vs Stjarnan
Conference League • Thursday, July 09, 2026 • 19:00
Match Overview
Vikingur Gota are favoured on strength, form and xG, while the goal model strongly supports a high-scoring game. Over 2.5 goals carries strong value at the quoted price, with BTTS also well supported by the data.
Vikingur Gota vs Stjarnan Pre-Match Data
Team-strength ratings give Vikingur Gota an overall score of 69 compared with 71 for Stjarnan. The attacking ratings are 75 and 70, while form ratings stand at 69 and 71. This gives Stjarnan the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.21 for Vikingur Gota and 0.95 for Stjarnan, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.16. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 73.48% and both teams to score at 81.30%.
Confidence
76%High ConfidenceRisk Level
Low RiskBankroll discipline requiredAI Score
7.60Vault AI ratingPredicted Score
2.21 - 0.95Vikingur Gota vs StjarnanProbability Breakdown
Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.
Value Analysis
Match Insight
PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Vikingur Gota win probability is 59.19%, draw probability is 12.00%, and Stjarnan win probability is 28.81%. Expected goals: Vikingur Gota 2.21, Stjarnan 0.95. Recent form: Vikingur Gota WDWDW (11 pts), Stjarnan DWLDL (5 pts).
Model Version: Vault AI Model v3Join The PuntVault Football Community
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