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Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga Bundesliga • Saturday, May 16, 2026 • 15:30

AI Prediction

Away Win

Odds @1.98 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence102%
Risk LevelLow Risk
Kickoff15:30
Market Odds@1.98
Match Statistical Context

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund Pre-Match Data

Werder Bremen enter this Bundesliga fixture ranked 15 with 32 points from 34 matches, while Borussia Dortmund sit 2 with 73 points. Borussia Dortmund hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Borussia Dortmund carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Werder Bremen have scored 37 and conceded 60, giving them a goal difference of -23. Borussia Dortmund have scored 70 and conceded 34, with a goal difference of 36. On that measure, Borussia Dortmund show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Werder Bremen's form string is LLLDW, while Borussia Dortmund's latest sequence is WWLWL. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Werder Bremen an overall score of 69 compared with 71 for Borussia Dortmund. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 69 and 71. This gives Borussia Dortmund.

Confidence

102%High Confidence

Risk Level

Low RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

10.20Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

0.95 - 1.45Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinWerder Bremen
-18.08%
DrawMatch draw
15.25%
Away WinBorussia Dortmund
102.82%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
48.00%
BTTSBoth teams to score
42.00%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability50.51%
Model Probability%
Value Edge52.31%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI compared league position, points gap and goal difference. Werder Bremen win probability is -18.08%, draw probability is 15.25%, and Borussia Dortmund win probability is 102.82%. Expected goals: Werder Bremen 0.95, Borussia Dortmund 1.45.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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