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Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert

Conference League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 2.5

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 63%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Yelimay Semey an overall score of 73 compared with 75 for Alashkert. The attacking ratings are 76 and 78, while form ratings stand at 73 and 75. This gives Alashkert the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.61 for Yelimay Semey and 1.49 for Alashkert, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.10. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.40% and both teams to score at 73.40%.

Confidence

63% Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.30 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.61 - 1.49 Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinYelimay Semey
35.32%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinAlashkert
36.68%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.40%
BTTSBoth teams to score
73.40%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge6.82%
Value RatingGOOD
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, probability balance and expected goals for this fixture. No strong recent head-to-head sample was available, so the model weighted FIFA ranking, team strength, form indicators and goal expectation more heavily. Yelimay Semey win probability is 35.32%, draw probability is 28.00%, and Alashkert win probability is 36.68%. Expected goals: Yelimay Semey 1.61, Alashkert 1.49. Recent form: Yelimay Semey N/A (0 pts), Alashkert N/A (0 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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