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Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split

Europa League Europa League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (41.42% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence46%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff19:00
Market Odds@1.78
Match Statistical Context

Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Žilina an overall score of 70 compared with 72 for HNK Hajduk Split. The attacking ratings are 66 and 86, while form ratings stand at 70 and 72. This gives HNK Hajduk Split the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.64 for Žilina and 1.46 for HNK Hajduk Split, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.10. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 61.40% and both teams to score at 41.42%.

Confidence

46%Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.60Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.64 - 1.46Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinŽilina
36.06%
DrawMatch draw
28.00%
Away WinHNK Hajduk Split
35.94%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
61.40%
BTTSBoth teams to score
41.42%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-10.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 41.42%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=66, probability=41.42, confidence=46, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=watchlist.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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