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Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split

Europa League Europa League • Thursday, July 16, 2026 • 20:30

AI Prediction

Away Win

Odds @2.41 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence60%
Risk LevelMedium Risk
Kickoff20:30
Market Odds@2.41
PuntVault AI Summary

Match Overview

Hajduk Split carry stronger form, better goal numbers and a clear away-win edge. The price offers strong value, though the medium-risk tag reflects knockout volatility and an unconfirmed lineup context.

Match Statistical Context

Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Žilina an overall score of 70 compared with 72 for HNK Hajduk Split. The attacking ratings are 66 and 86, while form ratings stand at 70 and 72. This gives HNK Hajduk Split the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.21 for Žilina and 1.84 for HNK Hajduk Split, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.05. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 59.50% and both teams to score at 70.70%.

Confidence

60%Medium Confidence

Risk Level

Medium RiskBankroll discipline required

AI Score

6.00Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.21 - 1.84Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinŽilina
32.33%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinHNK Hajduk Split
55.67%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
59.50%
BTTSBoth teams to score
70.70%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability41.49%
Model Probability%
Value Edge18.51%
Value RatingELITE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

PuntVault AI analysed team strength, ELO rating, last-five team form, goal trends, market probabilities and last-five head-to-head history. In the last 1 available meetings, Žilina recorded 0 win(s), HNK Hajduk Split recorded 1 win(s), and 0 match(es) ended level. Those meetings averaged 2.00 goals, with BTTS landing in 0.00% and over 2.5 goals landing in 0.00%. Žilina win probability is 32.33%, draw probability is 12.00%, and HNK Hajduk Split win probability is 55.67%. Expected goals: Žilina 1.21, HNK Hajduk Split 1.84. Recent form: Žilina LDDLD (3 pts), HNK Hajduk Split WWWWW (15 pts).

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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