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Ajax vs Shelbourne

Conference League • Thursday, August 06, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (25.67% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 45%
Risk Level Low Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Ajax vs Shelbourne Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Ajax an overall score of 72 compared with 70 for Shelbourne. The attacking ratings are 75 and 75, while form ratings stand at 72 and 70. This gives Ajax the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 2.66 for Ajax and 0.69 for Shelbourne, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.35. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 76.90% and both teams to score at 25.67%.

Confidence

45% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.50 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

2.66 - 0.69 Ajax vs Shelbourne
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinAjax
68.00%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinShelbourne
20.00%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
76.90%
BTTSBoth teams to score
25.67%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability25.67%
Model Probability%
Value Edge16.18%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 25.67%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=62, probability=25.67, confidence=45, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=watchlist.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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