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Annecy vs Rodez

Ligue 2 • Friday, August 14, 2026 • 20:45

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (40.69% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 46%
Risk Level Low Risk
Kickoff 20:45
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Annecy vs Rodez Pre-Match Data

Annecy enter this Ligue 2 fixture ranked 7 with 52 points from 34 matches, while Rodez sit 5 with 58 points. Rodez hold the stronger league-position indicator before kickoff, and Rodez carry the points advantage in the current table. The goal profile also creates a different statistical picture for this match. Annecy have scored 49 and conceded 39, giving them a goal difference of 10. Rodez have scored 45 and conceded 39, with a goal difference of 6. On that measure, Annecy show the cleaner current-season balance. Recent form adds another useful layer: Annecy's form string is LWWWD, while Rodez's latest sequence is WWDWW. This helps separate league-table strength from short-term momentum. Team-strength ratings give Annecy an overall score of 63 compared with 75 for Rodez. The attacking ratings are 65 and 75, while form ratings stand at 63 and 75. This gives Rodez the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 0.78.

Confidence

46% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Low Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

4.60 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

0.78 - 2.26 Annecy vs Rodez
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinAnnecy
20.68%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinRodez
67.32%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
71.32%
BTTSBoth teams to score
40.69%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability40.69%
Model Probability%
Value Edge19.82%
Value Rating
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 40.69%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=67, probability=40.69, confidence=46, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=watchlist.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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