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Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca

Conference League • Thursday, July 30, 2026 • 19:00

AI Prediction

Over 3.5 Yellow Cards (60.13% probability)

Odds @1.78 • Stake 1u

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AI Confidence 51%
Risk Level Medium Risk
Kickoff 19:00
Market Odds @1.78
Match Statistical Context

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca Pre-Match Data

Team-strength ratings give Beitar Jerusalem an overall score of 72 compared with 69 for AEK Larnaca. The attacking ratings are 73 and 72, while form ratings stand at 72 and 69. This gives Beitar Jerusalem the model-rating edge. PuntVault's pre-match model projects expected goals of 1.12 for Beitar Jerusalem and 1.92 for AEK Larnaca, producing a combined goal expectation of 3.04. The model also rates over 2.5 goals at 60.32% and both teams to score at 60.13%.

Confidence

51% Low Confidence

Risk Level

Medium Risk Bankroll discipline required

AI Score

5.10 Vault AI rating

Predicted Score

1.12 - 1.92 Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca
AI Model

Probability Breakdown

Vault AI probability ratings for match outcome and goal markets.

Home WinBeitar Jerusalem
30.10%
DrawMatch draw
12.00%
Away WinAEK Larnaca
57.90%
Over 2.5 GoalsGoal market
60.32%
BTTSBoth teams to score
60.13%
Market Value

Value Analysis

Implied Probability56.18%
Model Probability%
Value Edge-5.18%
Value RatingNONE
AI Intelligence

Match Insight

XGBoost Yellow Cards Engine v1 predicts Over 3.5 Yellow Cards. Model probability: 60.13%. Quality gate: yellow_cards quality=71, probability=60.13, confidence=51, feature=1.00, profile=1.00, tier=standard.

Model Version: Vault AI Model v3
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